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May 3, 2010 April 27, 2010 Mib

Well we say that the price level gets interesting. There is a network of supports static, dynamic, and Moving averages between 21,800 and 21,900 (in prices of index futures)

I think are made in clearly seen on the graph.

Now we enter a time zone where you can close the month. Although I miss the feeling that (after the closure of this party tracy April 19) a further tracy. But if there is no further
tracy would mean that we risk damaging the minimum in February with all the consequences. Maybe I'm wrong.

I was watching some highlights. Attention to Intesa San Paolo, one of the great mass is worse, the area is already supported: sotto 2.52 in close rischio cadute fino a 2.27/2.30.
Ad Unicredit manca solo qualche tick per chiudere il gap del 17 marzo.
Fra gli indici si segnala quello del portogallo che si è portato esattamente sui minimi del 5 febbraio. Dovremmo iniziarci a domandare cosa comporta per gli indici europei degli stati più in difficoltà la rottura di quei minimi. Annuale lungo o annuale già negativo? ....

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Tremonti Yesterday I heard talking about the situation of the Italian debt and was optimistic about it. I took a look and return you to the official data tables.

Table 1 and 2 show the public debt and I would say that we are the first in Europe on a par with Greece e c'è poco da stare ottimisti.

Per quanto riguarda invece il livello del Deficit (figura 3) è vero che ci troviamo in una situazione migliore della maggior parte degli europei. In particolare si trovano in una situazione peggiore (ordinati secondo il livello del deficit):Irlanda -14.3 %, Grecia -13.6%, Regno Unito -11.5%, Spagna -11.2% , Portogallo -9.4%, Islanda -9.1%, Lettonia -9%, Lituania -8.9%, Romania -8.3%, Francia -7.5 % e Polonia -7.1%. Noi italiano siamo al -5.3%.

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In conclusione penso che per ora non c’è la reale possibility that the stock index of major economies are beginning to follow their own paths. Albeit with different intensities and movements up to now, the underlying trend is followed by each of them. It is true that in recent years the Italian index has underperformed the rest of the group suffered a blow after the recent crisis. In my opinion the reason is not only the presence of unbalanced main banking and insurance in the basket but also the European economy to be among the largest in recent years has shown clear signs of decline. The last graph shows that in recent years are among the economic powers in a country that created the fewest jobs, even if the presence is crucial in this caso del lavoro nero è pur vero che i servizi di welfare si poggiano sul gettito fiscale del lavoro regolare e conseguentemente il settore pubblico ne paga in termini di efficienza. Quello che invece ora dovremmo domandarci è: la globalizzazione è stata un bene per noi cittadini dei paesi sviluppati? Questi ultimi 15 anni segnalano un benessere nelle principali economie occidentali in fase calante , è evidente che il trasferimento del fattore lavoro verso nazioni più economiche ha fatto moltiplicare gli utili delle multinazionali e quest’ultime se quotate hanno innalzato il valore delle loro quotazioni e degli indici, ma hanno impoverito i nostri cittadini. Semplicemente stiamo esportando ricchezza e importando povertà, non vedo come sia possibile the well-being and income of an industrialized society where the industry is gone.

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But something has gone wrong in the next cycle 2003-2007 ... .. We are always more energized during bullish but our relative strength is no longer the end of the millennium. What happened? Simply took the money other ways, it is cashed in another European country where much talk in recent years as the little engine of Europe: Spain. We see (Figure 4) that after a relatively quiet end of the millennium the Ibex after 2003 became the principal recipient of speculation. But even this explanation does not satisfy me, after 2003 we were now the most speculative but rode well to the cycle. Where we have lost so much and we are now bringing up the rear (Figure 5)? As shown in Figure 5 after the last downhill 2008-2009. Of course you would say, but why? The crisis was mainly financial and matrix of our index is composed primarily of banks and insurance companies with all the consequences. And maybe we also paid to the fact that we were the only nation in the world among the great, having suffered a year of recession in more . Check the 2 tables on GDP growth since 2000 and you will realize how we were in recession in 2008. If we wanted to also ask about what happened in the past 13 years to GDP per capita would have this situation. Since 1997 GDP per capita: U.S. - 4%, Germany -7.52%, France -6.1% UK -1.7% Spagna + 9 %, Italia -17 % .

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I think it's one of the most discussed topics recently: The underperformance of our market.

In fact, as seen in Figure 1 since we achieved our maximum in October and early weakness, with its ups and downs followed Lever 0.5 Lever amplified 2. The result is a loss of differential point of view of about 20 percentage points. Not considering the% but only 3 of us lack the chart new highs in prices.

One possible explanation is that our market being a little liquid than the U.S. needs a distribution period longer than necessary rallenta in anticipo la sua corsa, in effetti in passato (figura 2) proprio prima della discesa del 2008-2009 il nostro mercato realizzo i massimi di periodo ben 6 mesi prima dei corrispettivi americani. La tesi anticipatoria-distributiva seppur nefasta ha quindi quanto meno un suo riscontro storico.

Ma andiamo a guardare il tutto e non il particolare in figura 3 . Guardando il quadro d'insieme la situazione cambia e notevolmente. Il nostro mercato si comporta come una Small cap nei confronti di una Blue chip. Amplifica le salite e enfatizza le discese. È evidente come guadagniamo forza nella parte espansiva del ciclo e ne riperdiamo in to recessive. Seen in this way I would say that the current underperformance should not cause concern as set out in paragraph precendete, it's just wait for the confirmation of the economic recovery even in the boot to recover the difference.

the left side of Figure 3 we note the role played by the technology bubble (98-2000) in our market, a euphoria in full salt Tiscali easier understanding of St. Paul, and a river of money poured in place by oxen and institutional business has ridiculed the U.S. performance in that period.

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Ftse Mib April 22, 2010


The Dark Cloud Cover Yesterday's paid off, although I think it depends more on luck that the validity of the patterns, configurations of this kind in fact lose value in times of congestion trends.

has recently been created rupture of the support dynamic red and blue above the static loop at an altitude of 22,255 points on the contract in June.
rupture is a diabolical trap? The volumes are on the increase in spark plugs today, so the motion is supported by volumes, and tomorrow we will have proof of 9. If you shoot a fast and violent movement of the pullback is the maximum target area 22435-22450. Above that level, especially in close, I would say they are more Leo Messi to do good to the breakage of the fake box. But not before
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From the perspective of the cyclical party Tracy broke the 19-04 minimum starting and then turned negative corroborating the view that the breaking of the media is true.
Then we can make several assumptions:
1) we are in the first t-1 of T +1 the party 19-04
2) we are in the first t-1 of a second tracy t +1 to three times the 08-party 04
3) we are in total confusion under the influence of opiates ....

If the movement confirm the negative 1 target is located on the "static life or death" at an altitude of 21,450 to 21,530 points (the June futures contract)

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Goldman Sachs Ftse Mib


A Quick Look at Goldman Sachs. Black Candelone huge volumes and record ...

I set up a range of Fibonacci and the average is the thick green biennale.Anche short if the trend is now compromised, break area would expect that 149-151 dollars to say that something has changed, otherwise the news Friday seems to have stepped out at the right time and at the right price to download the oscillators. We'll see ...

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Analysis April 16, 2010 AMD



I think you all agree if I say that the downtrend is still valid. Yesterday it closed above with a candle that did not deliver all that power (seemed half hanged) and now the prices have been strongly rejected. There was also a slight negative divergence of RSI. I would say you miss

method cyclical in the short term because I do not know what to choose between a T +1 began March 22 and ended April 8 (11 bars), or between a T +1 or possibly open ended today Monday (17 ° or 18 ° bar)


Anyway we have a close support is the red trend (Monday passes at an altitude of 22,700 and is growing by about 50 points a day) ... and below this support would say that you can "point" to the static black 21800/21900 share which was often affected by prices in recent months. I'd call it the "static life or death"

If the intermediary cycle is regular ("64" bars) as a period of time we are in a perfect area to make the most of the cycle. (Statistically if the upward cycle is recorded on the 44th, yesterday was the 46th)

We'll see ... to the next.

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AMD (A dvanced Micro Devices) announced data earlier, and I bet that will be used to close the gap at a height of 9:59. (In fact, after a 9.60 mark - 5:51% accurate then the closure in open tomorrow ....)
If confirmed the rupture of the old target to the first maximum at 10:04 11.25. Negativity in the 9.3 ...
divergence in the RSI is confirmed for months and overbought star ...

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Analysis Ftse April 15, 2010 Mib Mib Ftse

Our directory with the line chart, the bearish here is already blown. But do not get lost in the details. With the passing of 24,059 index points recorded on 11 January 2010 will be for us Italic graphic confirmation of the start of the new year. That question arises now is whether this first T +3 will end in May with the classic "64" will go to bars or stretch until mid-June and then in C86 that if spoken often.

The last time T +3 was compressed compared to the previous, surprising people like me who expected a lower minimum. Shortening of the last term which is understandable since it is the only "counter trend" has shortened the time. (The largest annual cycle intermediate and the minor did not have the same sign)

That's why I wonder if the first term of this "new" annual return to beat three rhythm and surprise those who expect the minimum in early May .

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Revolving credit cards and easy loans. Bank of Italy intervenes

Rome, April 12 (Labitalia) - With only one paycheck from 1,600 € net, you can also get three loans for 60,000 with a monthly payment of € 1008.70 € 20,227.20 with interest.
Bank of Italy has just lifted the lid stop issuance of credit cards from major financial institutions highlights the limitations and the fragility of a system, that of personal credit, which requires immediate corrective action. And in this sense, Via Nazionale has intensified its action in recent months. Two most critical factors, revolving cards and easy loans, especially online.
revolving cards, the ones that allow you to repay the balance in installments at the end of the month, says the president of Federconsumatori Rosario Trefiletti, trigger a "perverse", which can lead straight to personal bankruptcy, "you think you have money, you undue and then you screw it up yourself." Can be "a trap", especially for consumers in difficulty, especially considering that the interests "are deadly, sometimes up to 20%."

Then there are the unscrupulous Financial. "Do in no way whatsoever to the financial wiper, those that leave flyers on cars and advertise bids on the Internet senseless." Also because "the risk is that they can hide illegal activity, including money laundering, is the appeal of Trefiletti. On the Internet, enough a paycheck, a bit 'of unconsciousness, and the' failure 'staff are served.

While slogans are often misunderstandings, 'a few answers so many questions', 'loan to the speed of light', 'satisfied without warranty', nothing illegal and no suspicion of fraud. At least for the financial studied which are all entered the Italian Exchange Office and associated all'Assofin, the trade association. To obtain a loan you need is a paycheck, but there are also formulas for those who can not prove their income, to sign up and find other funding, in a few months, with an excessive rate. hypothesis, however, that the same finanziarie tendono a minimizzare .

Massima libertà per il cliente: può saltare una rata, modificarne l'importo, variare la durata del prestito, ma anche estinguere anticipatamente senza pagare alcuna penale. Condizioni tanto invitanti quanto pericolose . Ovviamente, è tutto più semplice se per una bolletta non pagata non si è finiti nel database di qualche centrale rischi. In questo caso, però, spendendo qualcosa in più e ampliando leggermente la ricerca si può ripiegare sull'offerta più spregiudicata, quella che garantisce assistenza anche ai cattivi pagatori, con tanto di portale internet dedicato ai prestiti per i protestati.

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6-7-8 Agosto 2010
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When Conceived Will There Be A Painful Ovulation?

Analysis April 10, 2010

Italic Only we went below the minimum of 31 March, and the underperformance against the rest of the world becomes embarrassing at this point. If we are in the second t-1 tracy party on March 31 then I would expect a minimum lower than that achieved on April 8 to 22,684 points by the end of this t-one (ideally the final is scheduled for April 14) and close So in addition to Tracy T +1 also the first of the monthly party that I consider March 22. But looking at the rest of the world (Americans, British, French, German, English, etc.) I think is more likely to tracy and perhaps even the entire T +1 lend themselves to a possible truncation or we are putting up a structure that still sincerely I do not understand. Developments uncorrelated or at least sottoperformante of our index makes the analysis more complicated. Alla prossima....